Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Zelensky said it was "meaningless" to discuss Ukraine's NATO membership with Trump, and Musk responded with an expression. According to "Russia Today" (RT), American entrepreneur elon musk responded with an expression to a post on social media platform X on the 9th that Ukrainian President Zelensky said it was "meaningless" to discuss Ukraine's NATO membership with US President-elect Trump. RT said that the post that triggered Musk's reply wrote, "Zelensky: I will ask Biden (the current president of the United States) to invite me (Ukraine) to join NATO ... It is meaningless to talk to Trump (the president-elect of the United States)." The post was accompanied by a video of Zelensky's remarks. RT mentioned that Musk forwarded this post on social media platform X on the 9th, and responded with an expression of "provoking eyebrows". RT said that this expression represents "doubt, doubt, disapproval, surprise and confusion". Zelensky was quoted as saying that Trump has not yet entered the White House, so what he said now is not enough. (World Wide Web)The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39,197.42 points in early trading, up 0.09%.
In the arrest warrant of Jin Longxian, the South Korean prosecutor clearly identified Yin Xiyue as the "chief offender of civil strife". According to a report by South Korea's Central Daily News on the 10th, on the 9th, South Korean President Yin Xiyue became the first incumbent president who was banned from leaving the country. This was the decision only six days after the "12.3 Emergency Martial Law Incident". On the same day, when the South Korean prosecutor applied for the arrest of former Defense Minister Jin Longxian, Yin Xiyue was clearly identified as the first offender of the crime of civil strife. According to the report, the South Korean prosecutor identified Jin Longxian as one of the leaders of civil strife in the arrest warrant, and was suspected of suggesting the implementation of emergency martial law and participating in important civil strife tasks. Yin Xiyue, who ordered the declaration of martial law, was accused of being "the first offender of rebellion". It is understood that the prosecution also listed other major commanders who deployed armed forces to Congress and other places as accomplices in civil strife. (Zhongxin. com)The Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission and Zhongguancun Management Committee investigated the brain-computer interface technology under Chengyitong. Recently, Li Junnan, Minister of the Frontier Department of Medical Center of Beijing Science and Technology Commission and Zhongguancun Management Committee, and Zheng Meng, Deputy Director of Daxing District Science and Technology Commission, and his party went to Beijing Naolin Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chengyitong, to have in-depth exchanges on further promoting the development and application of brain-computer interface technology. According to reports, at present, the company has made a series of important technological breakthroughs, and has completed the trial production of three prototypes of nerve rehabilitation products based on brain-computer interface technology, namely, products based on visual evoked potential paradigm-brain-computer interface cognitive rehabilitation system, brain-computer interface hand function rehabilitation system, and innovative mixed paradigm products based on visual reinforcement of motor imagination-brain-computer interface upper and lower limb active and passive rehabilitation system.Guangdong: By 2025, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption will strive to reach about 30%. In principle, no new self-provided coal-fired units will be added. The Guangdong Provincial People's Government issued an action plan for continuous improvement of air quality in Guangdong Province to develop clean and low-carbon energy. By 2025, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption will strive to reach about 30%, and electric energy will account for about 40% of terminal energy consumption. Improve the operation mechanism of natural gas pipeline network, and industrial and commercial users with annual gas consumption of more than 10 million cubic meters, close to the main pipeline and with direct download conditions can implement direct supply. New natural gas will give priority to ensuring residents' lives, replacing clean energy sources in industrial boilers and furnaces, and using transportation vehicles and boats. The "coal to gas" of industrial boilers and furnaces should be promoted in an orderly manner under the condition of implementing the gas supply contract. Reasonable control of coal consumption. Promote energy saving and consumption reduction of existing coal-fired generating units. In principle, no new self-owned coal-fired units will be added, and self-owned power plants will be encouraged to turn into public power plants. The Pearl River Delta region has gradually expanded the scope of Class III (strict) no-burn zone for highly polluting fuels, and the Class III no-burn zone in eastern Guangdong, western Guangdong and northern Guangdong has been expanded to urban built-up areas at or above the county level. Coal-fired power projects and their coal consumption that support stable power supply, safe operation of power grid and large-scale consumption of clean energy should be reasonably guaranteed.
Lebanese media said that Israeli tanks were moving about 20 kilometers away from Damascus. According to the early morning news of Lebanon's "Square" TV station on the 10th local time, Israeli troops had crossed the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone, entered the rural province of Damascus, Syria, and occupied several towns in the province near the Lebanese border. Israeli tanks are heading for Qatana, about 20 kilometers from Damascus. (CCTV News)Singapore real estate tycoon plans to set up a family office in Abu Dhabi, and the family of Singapore real estate tycoon Raj Kumar plans to set up a family office in Abu Dhabi. Kishin RK, the son of Rajkumar, said that Abu Dhabi was chosen because of its strategic location and internationally recognized legal framework. "Setting up a family office in Abu Dhabi also allows us to expand our investment in the UAE and the Middle East." The net worth of Rajkuma family is estimated to be about $3.15 billion. Gissing did not disclose the scale of management funds of the family office, but said that they are recruiting and will focus on real estate investment in the retail, commercial and hotel sectors.General Administration of Customs: In the first 11 months, automobile exports were 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. According to the data of General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months, China exported 13.7 trillion yuan of mechanical and electrical products, up by 8.4%, accounting for 59.5% of China's total export value. Among them, automatic data processing equipment and its parts and components were 1.33 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.4%; 1.03 trillion yuan of integrated circuits, up by 20.3%; Mobile phones reached 874.45 billion yuan, down by 0.9%; Automobile was 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. In the same period, the export of labor products was 3.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.2%, accounting for 16.7%. Among them, clothing and clothing accessories were 1.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.9%; Textiles were 915.96 billion yuan, up 6%; Plastic products reached 681.09 billion yuan, up 6.9%. The export of agricultural products was 657.34 billion yuan, up by 4.6%. (General Administration of Customs)